The Election Day Thread

[User.45]

He’s rotting away, he won’t be alive in a few months ...

I honestly think McConnell will not pull through his next term.

 

[Alli]

Hickenlooper in CO. That’s 1 of the 3 needed. I can’t believe Collins is still even showing.

 

[JayMysteri0]

Bust out your Bugs Bunny / Florida gifs

 

[SuperMatt]

Sad to see how many millions still voted for Trump after his handling of coronavirus and race relations. Win or lose, I’m sad about that.

 

[Alli]

Not surprised about FL at least.

 

[SuperMatt]

Bust out your Bugs Bunny / Florida gifs

Foreigners from oppressive communist countries (Cuba and Vietnam) bought the “Biden is a communist” baloney hook, line, and sinker... sadly. I think it sounds like that’s what happened in Florida.

 

[lizkat]

He’s rotting away, he won’t be alive in a few months ...

I dunno, there could be some truth to the idea that only the good drop away too soon... but if McConnell does have to leave his new term as Senator early, the current governor of Kentucky, Andy Beshar, happens to be... yeah, a Democrat who won office in 2018 and so is not up for re-election until 2022.

So for at least awhile, if Beshar had to make a special appointment, the next junior senator from the great state of bourbon drinkers would not be of Mitch's party and so a Democrat would serve in Mitch's old seat until the state's next general election. Maybe even Amy McGrath. Yeah. Stranger things have happened in the filling of many a US Senate vacancy than to see a defeated opponent then take the seat of a Senator who passes away.

That very thought might even be enough to keep McConnell this side of the grave for awhile, ya think? Or anyway give him no peace in the grave.

It would be some form of justice to see Mitch McConnell as healthy enough candidate for minority leader and if he is chosen, then listen to him whining about uppity Democrats taking lawmaking and even Senate rules into their own unruly hands for nefarious purposes.

 

[SuperMatt]

Texas is less than 1% margin with close to 10 million votes counted....

 

[SuperMatt]

People at my condo building set up a screen and projector on the shared courtyard to watch CNN results outside....

 

[JayMysteri0]

Win or lose, the damage is done
https://www.twitter.com/i/web/status/1323818529523716096/

And...
https://www.twitter.com/i/web/status/1323810992711753730/
Because...

 

[lizkat]

North Carolina is quite close with not that many votes outstanding... so far Biden ahead but not by much of a margin.

 

[JayMysteri0]

The 'it should be comedy, but isn't" break...
https://www.twitter.com/i/web/status/1323820771098189824/

 

[JayMysteri0]

Well, here's one relief
https://www.twitter.com/i/web/status/1323821521014525953/

 

[lizkat]

Nate Silver commenting on a Chris Christie prediction in Ohio that only slightly favors Trump (which polls did forecast... and Silver then suggesting that if their forecasts of key states continue to hold up pretty well, Biden will probably take Pennsylvania.

 

[SuperMatt]

Why do some states count their votes quickly and some take forever?

 

[SuperMatt]

It is past the bedtime for Pennsylvania vote counters I guess:

https://www.twitter.com/i/web/status/1323820689598615553/

 

[lizkat]

Why do some states count their votes quickly and some take forever?

Because

their rules differ on when they can release counts publicly,

because they have different vote-casting machinery,

because they have different requirements and manner of reconciling registry and actual votes cast (and provisional ballots are sometime treated differently especially if they replace previously requested absentee ballots),

because they have different rules for when absentee ballots can be opened, counted, validated.

[ and because the fill-in-your-choice-of-party vote thieves take awhile to get their cheat on? ]

That last one is largely a satirical remark with respect to what goes on on Election Day because it's actually pretty hard to mess with vote counts in any precinct.

What goes on with respect to voter suppression, on the other hand, is a whole other game. And it's not Democrats who hope for low turnout, and not Democrats arguing against leniency on dates of return of mailed ballots due to covid-19 plus Louis DeJoy's shenanigans.

 

[Scepticalscribe]

I have belatedly arrived at the realisation that I really and truly have come to hate the South.

Politically, culturally, historically.

 

[JayMysteri0]

Bust out your Bugs Bunny / Florida gifs

Foreigners from oppressive communist countries (Cuba and Vietnam) bought the “Biden is a communist” baloney hook, line, and sinker... sadly. I think it sounds like that’s what happened in Florida.

How Latinos in Miami-Dade County helped Trump win Florida

Biden needed to win big in Miami-Dade County. But Trump ate into his margins among Latinos.

www.vox.com

Vice President Joe Biden performed significantly worse in Florida’s Miami-Dade County, falling short of the big margins he almost certainly needed to win Florida — President Donald Trump’s adopted home and a historical bellwether of who has won presidential contests.

Hillary Clinton won the county by a 30-point margin in 2016. But Trump sought to make inroads this year among Latino voters in the area, in particular among Cuban Americans who have historically leaned more Republican than Latinos from other countries of origin, embittered by John F. Kennedy’s withdrawal of support for an operation against dictator Fidel Castro at Cuba’s Bay of Pigs decades ago.

Preliminary data suggests that Trump’s efforts paid off: With 86 percent of precincts reporting, Biden’s lead had shrunk to just 9 percentage points in Miami-Dade County, and Trump had improved his margins among precincts in the county, where Cubans make up more than a quarter of the electorate by nearly 14 points, according to the New York Times. Those gains — and Biden’s failure to make up for those losses in other parts of the state — were significant enough to tip Florida in the president’s favor in a tight contest.

The Trump campaign had spent months investing heavily in eroding Biden’s margins in Florida, casting him as a socialist and capitalizing on the fears of Latinos from failed socialist regimes. (Biden has run as a center-left moderate, and even Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’s brand of democratic socialism has little relationship to the regimes in Cuba and Venezuela.)

Trump ran Spanish-language ads, which began airing in Florida as early as June, likening Biden to ruthless Latin American caudillos like Castro or Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela.


One 30-second ad, narrated by a Cuban actress, paints Biden and the Democrats as extremists, playing images of Cuban refugee flights, a 2015 photo of Biden with Maduro in Brazil, and a red flag emblazoned with an image of Che Guevara, the communist Cuban revolutionary.

What’s more, disinformation campaigns have permeated Florida Latinos’ WhatsApp chats, Facebook feeds, and radio programs, falsely claiming, for example, that Biden has a pedophilia problem.

Trump’s performance with Latinos in Florida isn’t necessarily predictive of how he will fare with Latinos nationwide. In Florida, Latinos’ political leanings are particularly diverse, with populations hailing from Cuba, Puerto Rico, Colombia, Mexico, and from other parts of Latin America. In other states with large Latino populations, including Texas and Arizona, Mexicans make up the vast majority of Latino voters and trend more Democratic.

In September, there were warning signs that the Biden campaign had “work to do” with Latinos, as his senior adviser Symone Sanders admitted. Democrats sounded the alarm in the media, again and again.

“It seems like the Latino vote is not being taken seriously,” Chuck Rocha, a former senior campaign adviser for Sen. Bernie Sanders, told Vox at the time. “Latino organizations are still not being funded to get out the vote and to maximize our input. Why are we spending 99 cents of every dollar on white suburban voters and not on Black or brown voters?”

 

[Alli]

People at my condo building set up a screen and projector on the shared courtyard to watch CNN results outside....

Hrmm...my brother and sister-in-law were visiting friends earlier where they were doing that. But they got tired and depressed and went home.

Frankly, I don’t know how any of us are still watching. It’s all so depressing. I don’t know what I’m going to do.